Marco Trungelliti vs Andrew Paulson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Paulson's second serve performance over the past six months shows he wins 44.91% of these points, slightly better than Trungelliti's 42.51%.
• Trungelliti has an edge in return games, securing 46.79% on the opponent's second serve compared to Paulson's 45.6%.
• In first serve returns, Trungelliti also leads with 29.38%, surpassing Paulson's 24.95%.
• When faced with breakpoints, Trungelliti saves 59.91% compared to Paulson’s 57.52%, showing a slightly stronger mental game under pressure.
• Looking at overall match wins in the past year, Trungelliti holds a higher win percentage of 56.06% against Paulson's 41.18%.
• Paulson shows his best career performance on Hard courts with a 65% win rate, whereas Trungelliti excels on Clay with a 62% win rate.
• Both players primarily compete in Challenger/ITF circuits, but Trungelliti has a better success rate at 61.36% compared to Paulson's 46.67%.
• Trungelliti faces stronger opponents on average, with opponent ranks around 237.38, whereas Paulson's opponents average at 373.47.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Paulson has an impressive 100% win rate compared to Trungelliti's 61% in such scenarios.
• Trungelliti also shows better breakpoint conversion rates, turning 34.92% of his opportunities into game wins compared to Paulson’s 30%.

Editorial Prediction (September 6, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performance patterns suggests Trungelliti holds the edge in return games, which could prove crucial in this matchup. His ability to secure a higher percentage of first and second serve returns indicates superior defensive skills. Additionally, Trungelliti's mental toughness under breakpoint pressure and higher match win rate over the past year further solidifies his favored standing.

Paulson, however, is not to be underestimated, especially with his clean record in deciding sets. This resilience might come into play if the match reaches a critical juncture. Despite this, Trungelliti's advantage in converting breakpoints and facing tougher opponents consistently could contribute to a stronger performance overall.

Considering these factors, Trungelliti emerges as the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match, owing to his robust all-around game and recent form advantages over Paulson.